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RIM versus Apple
William Stofega, analyst at IDC, thinks the hand-wringing is somewhat alarmist.
"I think RIM is doing a decent job. I haven't crunched all the numbers for Q3, but last time I looked, RIM was still leading Apple in terms marketshare," Stofega told InternetNews.com.
IDC's preliminary mobile phone market data for shipments in the US, from vendor to the channel during the second quarter, show the BlackBerry Curve in the No. 1 spot, followed by the 3GS. The Pearl checks in at No. 3, with the 3G at No.4, and RIM again takes the fifth and sixth rankings with the Bold and Storm family respectively.
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He said that while there's no denying Apple's success, down the road, the company is still vulnerable in terms of overseas expansion and in the enterprise, compared to RIM.
"The iPhone is a US phenomenon, which is fine, but the story really is how well it will do in the rest of the world. Even with the deals it's making in China, Apple has its work cut out for them," said Stofega. "In these emerging markets, price and customization is critical. You can't just drop an experience that does well in Cupertino in Guangzhou and have it work."
He also said RIM is still going to grab the majority of IT mobile budgets, despite the iPhone's strengthened OS and encroachment into the office. "Apple's just not even close in terms of security, not to say they won't ever catch up, but you can't dismiss all the moving parts RIM has going for it in encryption and security, it's a big deal, and that's why corporate America still buys BlackBerrys."
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Google Plans to Twitterize Gmail?Stofega also adds that he believes workers prefer having a physical keyboard on their handsets, which is lacking on the iPhone models.
Challenges ahead
Enterprise dominance aside, RIM is still aggressively courting consumers. While the professional-use centric Bold 9700 may fail to entice casual shoppers, the imminent release of the Storm2 is a bet to do exactly that.
The touchscreen star of its consumer line up, the Storm2 9550 may be formally unveiled Oct. 28 to arrive on Verizon. Though RIM has not disclosed any details of the new device, it's been showing it off recently to analysts, including Stofega, who also previewed the Bold 9700.
He says the Storm2 is a vast improvement over its predecessor in terms of user experience and screen technology and should do well.
RIM, and the rest of the industry, also has to play catch-up to Apple's App Store success.
In terms of mobile apps, which are largely believed to be the long-term driving force in determining any individual handsets success, emerging platforms that will make it easier for developers to create apps across multiple operating systems could help level the playing field, Stofega said.
"Eventually, if more small independent developers can push a button and port their app to all the OSes, they won't just choose to develop for the iPhone," he said. "That can help RIM and everybody else. We'll have to wait and see how that plays out, as well as how the Storm2 does."
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