A Market Leader And A Premature Play
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Two weeks ago I didn't think it would be possible, but a torrid second-half pace has put July in a long-shot position to break the record set in June for most Internet IPOs in one month.
That's still four short of June's record 32 'Net IPOs, but the real heavy action in recent months has been coming on Fridays. Sixteen of those 32 Internet IPOs in June, for example, were made on a Friday.
Nasdaq small-capper Perficient (PRFT) opened Thursday at $11.50 after 1 million shares were offered at $8 each, but headed south fast, dropping below $10 a share by 1 p.m.
That's a nice niche - employees of any company that just installed new major software can tell you how critical support is. Perficient's problem is that it has barely penetrated that niche. Sales in '98 were $826,000, of which 91% came from just one customer, Vignette, a maker of Web business software.
Worse, all of Perficient's $312,000 in revenue from this year's first quarter were from Vignette. The company needs to broaden customer base, not narrow it.
With only 19 employees, Perficient is a roll-up candidate for any number of larger Internet service companies or even Vignette. But it's a premature -- and, with 71% dilution based on the $8 offer price, a risky - bet for investors.
Net2Phone is no small-capper. The company's IPO raised $81 million with an offering of 5.4 million shares at $15 under the Nasdaq ticker (NTOP).
After opening at $20.75, NTOP shares were trading near $22 a share early Thursday afternoon.
With $12 million in '98 revenue and $22.2 million in the nine months ended April 30, Net2Phone also is no neophyte. A study by research firm Frost & Sullivan shows that the company, based in Hackensack, N.J., owned 30% of the market for Internet calls in 1997.
Net2Phone's products enable customers to make phone calls via the 'Net for far less than the cost of land-based or cellular service. The company claims 250,000 customers and offers service through major portals such as Yahoo! and Excite.
However, the company faces intense competition in the near-future from large telcos and equipment vendors (Cisco, Lucent, Nortel and others) which plan to enter the Internet telephony market. Existing Internet telephony vendors such as VocalTec also are fighting for market share.
Overall, though, Net2Phone is well-positioned, with a large and growing customer base and a deal with Netscape that would embed the company's PC2Phone software in its browsers. I expect decent after-marketperformance from this "ready for prime time" player.
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