@Home to Combine With Road Runner?
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But MediaOne is a big player in RoadRunner, the access service it operates with TimeWarner, the nation's biggest cable company.
Top executives of the two companies said Monday they weren't able to resolve the conflict during merger talks, and they'll put it off until the deal closes later this year.
"I don't think these two businesses are best off separate in the long run," said Bruce Leichtman, an analyst with the Yankee Group. "They need a unified marketing force, especially in urban areas where they overlap. Having several companies in this market isn't good for anybody."
Leicthman said it's likely that the two Internet services will consolidate under the @Home name, but working out such a deal will be tricky, given all the contractual stipulations and the confusing mix of partners.
Either way, the merger will make Comcast a much bigger player in the @Home joint venture. Yankee estimates that owners TCI and AT&T together had 29,000 cable access subscribers at the end of the fourth quarter, whereas Comcast and MediaOne will jointly boast upwards of 140,000.
"Comcast will be the biggest player in the ownership group, so they may demand more of a leadership role," he said.
Look for Comcast to nudge MediaOne to be more aggressive in upgrading its broadband plant, said Lisa Mann of the Strategis Group. She estimates that nearly 70 percent of Comcast's infrastructure will be capable of two-way broadband traffic by the end of 1999, while MediaOne has been less aggressive.
"You're going to see massive deployment and serious marketing," Mann said.
If the merger goes through, Comcast will amass about 11 million cable subscribers, a close second to the 12 million customer claimed by leaders Time Warner Inc. and AT&T Corp., which recently completed its acquisition of Tele-Communications Inc.