Despite some high-profile problems at fixed wireless providers such as
Winstar and Teligent, research by The
Strategis Group found enormous potential for success in the market
for fixed wireless Internet services.
From a relatively low base in 2001, The Strategis Group predicts that
broadband wireless service revenues will climb to $6.3 billion by 2005—representing
a five-year total of more than $17 billion and compound annual growth
of almost 60 percent.
“It’s inevitable that troubles at Winstar and Teligent—as the most
visible players in the market– would reflect poorly on the whole industry,”
said Peter Jarich, director of global broadband research at The Strategis
Group.
“The problem is that the spectrum they use, LMDS [definition],
is only one aspect of U.S. fixed wireless. On the MMDS [definition]
side, Sprint and WorldCom continue to make news and the unlicensed spectrum
space just saw a major operator, Clearwire, pull in almost $100 million
in new funding.”
LMDS and LMDS-based carriers won’t be going away anytime soon, according
to the research. Driven by new operators, new technologies and an installed
base of networks, millimeter-wave is expected to maintain its prominence,
accounting for almost half of broadband wireless revenues in 2005. Many
28 GHz and 39 GHz licensees are still just preparing to launch networks
and, at the same time, operators like E-Xpedient are shaking things up
by using unlicensed 60 GHz networks to offer service at low prices.
U.S. Broadband Wireless Subscribers
LMDS, MMDS & Unlicensed Spectrum |
|||||
Year | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|||||
Subscribers
(thousands) |
410 | 1,185 | 2,385 | 3,875 | 5,405 |
Source: The Strategis Group |
The fixed wireless access market in Europe is also set to take a large
piece of the broadband pie, according to The Strategis Group. Due largely
to a scarcity of viable broadband alternatives, the fixed wireless market
in Europe will reach $8.6 billion in annual revenues by 2006.
The business sector will remain the main revenue generator for fixed
wireless operators for some time, as operators select high-revenue customers
from urban business districts. The 15 main European markets will generate
more than $6.2 billion in business service revenue in 2006, as opposed
to $2.4 billion in residential service revenue.
A survey of ISPs by internet.com Corp.
(the publisher of this site) found that 40 percent of the respondents
plan to offer fixed wireless broadband access in the future. According
to the report “The
ISP Market: Challenges and Strategies for the Future,” not only does
fixed wireless avoid last-mile bottlenecks that plague DSL and cable service,
it also allows operators who do not have an existing customer base to
build a network without paying interconnection fees, dig holes or lay
cable.