Fixed Wireless Remains Viable Broadband Option

Despite some high-profile problems at fixed wireless providers such as

Winstar and Teligent, research by The

Strategis Group found enormous potential for success in the market

for fixed wireless Internet services.

From a relatively low base in 2001, The Strategis Group predicts that

broadband wireless service revenues will climb to $6.3 billion by 2005—representing

a five-year total of more than $17 billion and compound annual growth

of almost 60 percent.

“It’s inevitable that troubles at Winstar and Teligent—as the most

visible players in the market– would reflect poorly on the whole industry,”

said Peter Jarich, director of global broadband research at The Strategis

Group.

“The problem is that the spectrum they use, LMDS [definition],

is only one aspect of U.S. fixed wireless. On the MMDS [definition]

side, Sprint and WorldCom continue to make news and the unlicensed spectrum

space just saw a major operator, Clearwire, pull in almost $100 million

in new funding.”

LMDS and LMDS-based carriers won’t be going away anytime soon, according

to the research. Driven by new operators, new technologies and an installed

base of networks, millimeter-wave is expected to maintain its prominence,

accounting for almost half of broadband wireless revenues in 2005. Many

28 GHz and 39 GHz licensees are still just preparing to launch networks

and, at the same time, operators like E-Xpedient are shaking things up

by using unlicensed 60 GHz networks to offer service at low prices.

U.S. Broadband Wireless Subscribers

LMDS, MMDS & Unlicensed Spectrum

Year 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Subscribers

(thousands)

410 1,185 2,385 3,875 5,405
Source: The Strategis Group

The fixed wireless access market in Europe is also set to take a large

piece of the broadband pie, according to The Strategis Group. Due largely

to a scarcity of viable broadband alternatives, the fixed wireless market

in Europe will reach $8.6 billion in annual revenues by 2006.

The business sector will remain the main revenue generator for fixed

wireless operators for some time, as operators select high-revenue customers

from urban business districts. The 15 main European markets will generate

more than $6.2 billion in business service revenue in 2006, as opposed

to $2.4 billion in residential service revenue.

A survey of ISPs by internet.com Corp.

(the publisher of this site) found that 40 percent of the respondents

plan to offer fixed wireless broadband access in the future. According

to the report “The

ISP Market: Challenges and Strategies for the Future,” not only does

fixed wireless avoid last-mile bottlenecks that plague DSL and cable service,

it also allows operators who do not have an existing customer base to

build a network without paying interconnection fees, dig holes or lay

cable.

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