Stocks Mixed on Tame Inflation Data

Stocks were mixed Wednesday despite better-than-expected inflation data.

The Dow rose 45 and the S&P 500 rose 3. The ISDEX rose less than a point to 738, but the Nasdaq fell 21 after running into resistance around the 3900 level. Volume rose to 427 million shares on the NYSE, where advancers led 15 to 11. Nasdaq volume rose to 664 million shares; decliners led 18 to 17. May’s Consumer Price Index came in better than expected, showing a 0.1% rise, while the core rate was in line with estimates.

The session got started with news that the consumer price index rose 0.1 percent in May. That was better than the 0.2 percent rise economists were expecting but higher than April’s flat reading.

Shares of CMGI rose 1 3/8 to 58 on better-than-expected third quarter earnings and revenue. Internet Capital Group initially went along for the ride, but fell back, down 7/8 to 33 1/8.

Shares of FatBrain.com fell 1 3/4 to 7 15/16 after the company missed its earnings number. Initial reports did not include numbers from MightyWords and were misreported as exceeding estimates. There was also concern over the company’s cash burn rate. However, Needham & Co. upgraded FatBrain from Hold to Buy, with a price target of $20, on the strength of the company’s core business and confidence that it will be able to secure additional financing.

Shares of Critical Path , up 2 7/8 to 48 5/16, and Aether Systems , up 5 3/4 to 186 3/4, rose on news that the two will develop messaging and collaboration solutions to businesses and consumers via wireless devices.

eBay fell 3 3/4 to 64 1/4 after announcing plans to buy person-to-person trading marketplace Half.com. Infonautics , which will receive eBay stock in exchange for its stake in Half.com, rose 29/32 to 4 7/8. Robertson Stephens upgraded eBay to Strong Buy on the news. For more on the deal, click here.

Shares of About.com recovered 3 1/2 to 36 7/8, a day after falling in sympathy with NBC Internet’s earnings warning. NBCI fell further, down 11/16 to 16 15/16.

Shares of FairMarket gained 15/16 to 11 3/16 on news that it will host the new Lycos small business auction.

Red Hat fell 7/16 to 21 3/8 after announcing the acquisition of Linux communications software developer WireSpeed Communications for 1.5 million shares. For more on the story, click here.

Shares of TiVo soared 10 3/4 to 32 5/16 on news that America Online will make a $200 million investment in the company. The companies will develop an AOLTV-branded set-top box, and TiVo will become the exclusive provider of personal TV features on the boxes. Shares of Liberate gained 3 3/8 to 28 5/16. AOL shares rose 1 9/16 to 53 3/16 on news that it will be added to the S&P 100.

Shares of MatrixOne rose 3 3/4 to 29 3/4 on news of an alliance with Ariba .

Shares of Interwoven rose 4 1/8 to 79 1/2 on a CS First Boston Strong Buy rating and comments that the company is expected to exceed second quarter earnings and revenue estimates.

Visual Networks (VNWK) fell 14 5/8 to 40 on a Janney Montgomery Scott downgrade.

Some technical comments on the market: Wow. What a fast-moving market. Yesterday we talked about downside support; today we’re going to discuss upside resistance. The market is in one tight trading range, getting whipped

around by every bit of earnings and economic news. This could mean that we’re getting set up for one powerful move once the market makes up its mind which way it’s going. The Nasdaq continues to struggle with the 3900 level, getting turned back at about the 3880 level today. Again, our trading range on the Nasdaq is 3700-3900; a convincing break of either number should tell us which way we’re going (with the caveat that there’s a lot of overhead supply on the Nasdaq, with the next stop the 3950-4000 range). The S&P 500 is right at the upper boundary (1480) of its bearish “diamond” pattern, so we need to define “convincing break” here: out of a pattern like this, it is normally a close 3% higher than the level in question, on high volume. That means we want to see 1525 on the SPX on a closing basis and well over a billion shares on the NYSE before believing in this move. That’s not as much as you think, because a break of this pattern to the upside would imply a move to about 1700. On the Dow, I’m going to set our trading range at 10,500 to 10,755, to encompass yesterday’s low and the moving averages and upper boundary of our bearish descending triangle.

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