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Seven Net Stock Investment Essentials

Written By
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Steve Harmon
Steve Harmon
Jul 9, 1999

When it comes to Internet stocks many investors come into the arena without enough clues to unearth the value or lack of it, to separate hype from hope, execution from executioner.

In the spirit of providing a basis for approaching Internet stocks, I generated this handy table that, while no means comprehensive, offers the seven things I believe must be considered when looking at an Internet stock. Here’s some of my elementary elements, essentials:

Steve Harmon’s 7 Essential Elements
In An Internet Investment:

market potential look for huge markets, example: postage (stamps.com
(NASDAQ:STMP) which globally is a multi-hundred billion dollar market
management has this group had success in the past or are they a
complementary team, do they have the vision, strategy, execution, mix of talent to realize
the market potential — and appropriate incentive for all? example: Yahoo! (NASDAQ:YHOO)
growth is growth in users, page views, reach, sales, alliances,
partners, employees, earnings (or narrowed losses), moving at a viral pace both internally
and externally (acquisitions) quarter-on-quarter and year over year? example: eBay
(NASDAQ:EBAY), Lycos (NASDAQ:LCOS)
category leadership is this firm the pioneer setting the tone for the entire
sector, does it have a substantial mindshare lead or market lead vs. rivals? can it
dictate the category moves? example: AOL (NYSE:AOL)
valuation what is the stock trading at on a revenue multiple basis
vs. peers? what is the overall market capitalization vs. peers and offline rivals (if
any)? what are the valuation per user/customer/page view and revenue per
user/customer/page view? what are earnings or potential earnings and when? what is
valuation relative to other Internet stocks, offline stocks and to market potential?
example: Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) vs. barnesandnoble.com (NASDAQ:BNBN) vs. Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT)
vs. Web etail sales vs. offline retail sales?
flexibility can this firm switch gears and chart new courses if the
market they’re in changes course or dries up? example: Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) embracing
the Internet corporate wide or Egghead.com (NASDAQ:EGGS) shutting its brick and mortar
stores to be 100% Web-based; the search engines-turned media companies, portals.
barriers to entry does the firm have any sustainable advantage in one of
several key areas: technology; first to market advantage; better user experience,
substantial partnerships; key expertise; installed base of user/clients/customers; brand
awareness; cash on hand; capitalization (attractive stock as weapon for buyouts, etc);
superior management; exclusive contracts with key partners. Example? Broadcom (NASDAQ:BRCM), RealNetworks (NASDAQ:RNWK)

Please feel free to copy this table for future reference, with attribution in place.


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